Kyrian Jacquet vs Pedro Boscardin Dias prediction for June 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Pedro Boscardin Dias 0 - Kyrian Jacquet 0. Kyrian Jacquet is favored with a 56.4% win probability.
Pedro Boscardin Dias
1593
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • ATP
Kyrian Jacquet
1496
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Pedro Boscardin DiasKyrian Jacquet
Grass
Surface
ATP Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.4% (6,036 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 5 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Kyrian Jacquet
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Pedro Boscardin Dias leads by 97 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Grass: 63.5%
Kyrian Jacquet SPW
60.2%
Below tour avg
Pedro Boscardin Dias SPW
58.1%
Below tour avg
● Kyrian Jacquet has a slight serve edge (+2.1%)
Key Matchup Factors
- Pedro Boscardin Dias has a moderate 97-point Elo edge on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Kyrian Jacquet has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kyrian Jacquet 56.4%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →