Kyrian Jacquet vs Timofey Skatov prediction for June 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Timofey Skatov 0 - Kyrian Jacquet 0. Kyrian Jacquet is favored with a 55.9% win probability.
Timofey Skatov
1444
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • ATP
Kyrian Jacquet
1496
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Timofey SkatovKyrian Jacquet
Grass
Surface
ATP Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.3% (6,507 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 5 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Kyrian Jacquet
Timofey Skatov
Kyrian Jacquet leads by 52 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Grass: 63.5%
Kyrian Jacquet SPW
65.3%
Above tour avg
Timofey Skatov SPW
64.8%
Above tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Kyrian Jacquet ML
-238
Model: 56%
Edge: -14.5%
Timofey Skatov ML
+216
Model: 44%
Edge: +12.5%
Model Projection
Timofey Skatov ML +216 · +12.5% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Kyrian Jacquet has a moderate 52-point Elo edge on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Kyrian Jacquet has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kyrian Jacquet 55.9%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →