Lina Gjorcheska vs Francisca Jorge prediction for June 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Francisca Jorge 0 - Lina Gjorcheska 0. Francisca Jorge is favored with a 54.4% win probability.
Francisca Jorge
1539
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Lina Gjorcheska
1485
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Francisca JorgeLina Gjorcheska
Grass
Surface
WTA Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.2% (6,507 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Lina Gjorcheska
Francisca Jorge
Francisca Jorge leads by 54 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Lina Gjorcheska SPW
59.0%
Above tour avg
Francisca Jorge SPW
57.8%
Above tour avg
● Lina Gjorcheska has a slight serve edge (+1.2%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Lina Gjorcheska ML
+219
Model: 46%
Edge: +14.2%
Francisca Jorge ML
-264
Model: 54%
Edge: -18.1%
Model Projection
Lina Gjorcheska ML +219 · +14.2% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Francisca Jorge has a moderate 54-point Elo edge on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Lina Gjorcheska has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Francisca Jorge 54.4%
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →