Lola Radivojevic vs Greet Minnen prediction for May 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Greet Minnen 0 - Lola Radivojevic 0. Lola Radivojevic is favored with a 57.9% win probability.
Greet Minnen
1505
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Lola Radivojevic
1474
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Greet MinnenLola Radivojevic
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.4% (2,644 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Lola Radivojevic
Greet Minnen
Greet Minnen leads by 31 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Lola Radivojevic SPW
56.6%
Above tour avg
Greet Minnen SPW
54.0%
Below tour avg
● Lola Radivojevic has a slight serve edge (+2.6%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Lola Radivojevic ML
-172
Model: 58%
Edge: -5.4%
Greet Minnen ML
+144
Model: 42%
Edge: +1.2%
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (31-point Elo gap)
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Lola Radivojevic has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Lola Radivojevic 57.9%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →