Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic prediction for June 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Mia Ristic 0 - Lola Radivojevic 0. Mia Ristic is favored with a 52.7% win probability.
Mia Ristic
1457
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Lola Radivojevic
1446
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Mia RisticLola Radivojevic
Hard
Surface
Makarska Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.0% (4,286 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Makarska Open
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Lola Radivojevic
Mia Ristic
Mia Ristic leads by 12 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Lola Radivojevic SPW
56.7%
Above tour avg
Mia Ristic SPW
56.8%
Above tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (12-point Elo gap)
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Mia Ristic has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Mia Ristic 52.7%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →