ATP/WTA Tennis

Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Prediction

June 7, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks prediction for June 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Alycia Parks 0 - Maddison Inglis 0. Maddison Inglis is favored with a 50.1% win probability.

Alycia Parks
1449
Hard Elo
VS Hard • WTA
Maddison Inglis
1423
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
49.9%
50.1%
Alycia ParksMaddison Inglis
Hard
Surface
London
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
FINALMaddison Inglis def Alycia Parks (2–1)
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.8% (4,473 games)

Match Context

Tournament
London
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA

Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)

Maddison Inglis
1423
Alycia Parks
1449
Alycia Parks leads by 26 Elo points on Hard

Serve & Return Analysis

Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%

Maddison Inglis SPW
57.2%
Above tour avg
Alycia Parks SPW
58.9%
Above tour avg
● Alycia Parks has a slight serve edge (+1.7%)

Market Odds & Model Edge

Maddison Inglis ML
-227
Model: 50%
Edge: -19.3%
Alycia Parks ML
+190
Model: 50%
Edge: +15.4%
Model Projection
Alycia Parks ML +190 · +15.4% edge

Key Matchup Factors

Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Maddison Inglis 50.1%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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