Maddison Inglis vs Anastasia Zakharova prediction for May 13, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Anastasia Zakharova 0 - Maddison Inglis 0. Anastasia Zakharova is favored with a 61.3% win probability.
Anastasia Zakharova
1534
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Maddison Inglis
1423
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Anastasia ZakharovaMaddison Inglis
Hard
Surface
Paris
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.8% (2,098 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Paris
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Maddison Inglis
Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova leads by 111 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Maddison Inglis SPW
55.2%
Below tour avg
Anastasia Zakharova SPW
58.5%
Above tour avg
● Anastasia Zakharova has a significant serve advantage (+3.3%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Maddison Inglis ML
+315
Model: 39%
Edge: +14.6%
Anastasia Zakharova ML
-475
Model: 61%
Edge: -21.3%
Model Projection
Maddison Inglis ML +315 · +14.6% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Anastasia Zakharova holds a commanding 111-point Elo advantage on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Anastasia Zakharova has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Anastasia Zakharova 61.3%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →