Matilde Jorge vs Jil Teichmann prediction for June 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Jil Teichmann 0 - Matilde Jorge 0. Jil Teichmann is favored with a 50.6% win probability.
Jil Teichmann
1515
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Matilde Jorge
1474
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Jil TeichmannMatilde Jorge
Hard
Surface
Figueira Da Foz Ladies Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.4% (5,244 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Figueira Da Foz Ladies Open
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Matilde Jorge
Jil Teichmann
Jil Teichmann leads by 41 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Matilde Jorge SPW
56.9%
Above tour avg
Jil Teichmann SPW
55.0%
Below tour avg
● Matilde Jorge has a slight serve edge (+1.9%)
Key Matchup Factors
- Jil Teichmann has a moderate 41-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Matilde Jorge has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Jil Teichmann 50.6%
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →