Max Hans Rehberg vs Zachary Svajda prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Zachary Svajda 0 - Max Hans Rehberg 0. Max Hans Rehberg is favored with a 54.6% win probability.
Zachary Svajda
1475
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Max Hans Rehberg
1731
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Zachary SvajdaMax Hans Rehberg
Hard
Surface
ATP Geneva
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.7% (2,272 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP Geneva
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Max Hans Rehberg
Zachary Svajda
Max Hans Rehberg leads by 255 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Max Hans Rehberg SPW
64.3%
Above tour avg
Zachary Svajda SPW
62.9%
Below tour avg
● Max Hans Rehberg has a slight serve edge (+1.5%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Max Hans Rehberg ML
+112
Model: 55%
Edge: +7.4%
Zachary Svajda ML
-133
Model: 45%
Edge: -11.7%
Model Projection
Max Hans Rehberg ML +112 · +7.4% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Max Hans Rehberg holds a commanding 255-point Elo advantage on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Max Hans Rehberg has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Max Hans Rehberg 54.6%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →