Miomir Kecmanovic vs Antoine Ghibaudo prediction for June 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Antoine Ghibaudo 0 - Miomir Kecmanovic 0. Antoine Ghibaudo is favored with a 65.0% win probability.
Antoine Ghibaudo
1610
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • ATP
Miomir Kecmanovic
1470
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Antoine GhibaudoMiomir Kecmanovic
Grass
Surface
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.2% (6,036 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Miomir Kecmanovic
Antoine Ghibaudo
Antoine Ghibaudo leads by 140 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Grass: 63.5%
Miomir Kecmanovic SPW
63.9%
Above tour avg
Antoine Ghibaudo SPW
67.3%
Above tour avg
● Antoine Ghibaudo has a significant serve advantage (+3.3%)
Key Matchup Factors
- Antoine Ghibaudo holds a commanding 140-point Elo advantage on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Antoine Ghibaudo has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Antoine Ghibaudo 65.0%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →