Mirra Andreeva vs Barbora Krejcikova prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Barbora Krejcikova 0 - Mirra Andreeva 0. Mirra Andreeva is favored with a 55.6% win probability.
Barbora Krejcikova
1627
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Mirra Andreeva
1758
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Barbora KrejcikovaMirra Andreeva
Grass
Surface
WTA Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.3% (6,507 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Mirra Andreeva
Barbora Krejcikova
Mirra Andreeva leads by 130 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Mirra Andreeva SPW
59.9%
Above tour avg
Barbora Krejcikova SPW
58.3%
Above tour avg
● Mirra Andreeva has a slight serve edge (+1.6%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Mirra Andreeva ML
-200
Model: 56%
Edge: -11.1%
Barbora Krejcikova ML
+180
Model: 44%
Edge: +8.7%
Model Projection
Barbora Krejcikova ML +180 · +8.7% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Mirra Andreeva holds a commanding 130-point Elo advantage on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Mirra Andreeva has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Mirra Andreeva 55.6%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →