Nika Radisic vs Chloe Paquet prediction for June 3, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Chloe Paquet 0 - Nika Radisic 0. Nika Radisic is favored with a 54.8% win probability.
Chloe Paquet
1515
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Nika Radisic
1448
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Chloe PaquetNika Radisic
Hard
Surface
WTA 125k Foggia - R16
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.0% (4,377 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA 125k Foggia - R16
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Nika Radisic
Chloe Paquet
Chloe Paquet leads by 66 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Nika Radisic SPW
60.3%
Above tour avg
Chloe Paquet SPW
55.3%
Below tour avg
● Nika Radisic has a significant serve advantage (+5.0%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Nika Radisic ML
+463
Model: 55%
Edge: +37.0%
Chloe Paquet ML
-688
Model: 45%
Edge: -42.1%
Model Projection
Nika Radisic ML +463 · +37.0% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Chloe Paquet has a moderate 66-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Nika Radisic has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Nika Radisic 54.8%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →