Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevic prediction for June 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Mika Stojsavljevic 0 - Nikola Bartunkova 0. Mika Stojsavljevic is favored with a 53.7% win probability.
Mika Stojsavljevic
1421
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Nikola Bartunkova
1498
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Mika StojsavljevicNikola Bartunkova
Hard
Surface
Birmingham
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.7% (4,333 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Birmingham
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Nikola Bartunkova
Mika Stojsavljevic
Nikola Bartunkova leads by 77 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Nikola Bartunkova SPW
57.4%
Above tour avg
Mika Stojsavljevic SPW
57.4%
Above tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Nikola Bartunkova ML
+207
Model: 46%
Edge: +13.7%
Mika Stojsavljevic ML
-254
Model: 54%
Edge: -18.1%
Model Projection
Nikola Bartunkova ML +207 · +13.7% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Nikola Bartunkova has a moderate 77-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Mika Stojsavljevic has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Mika Stojsavljevic 53.7%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →