Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo prediction for June 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0 - Raphael Collignon 0. Juan Manuel Cerundolo is favored with a 50.2% win probability.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1484
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Raphael Collignon
1533
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Juan Manuel CerundoloRaphael Collignon
Grass
Surface
Lexus Eastbourne Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.6% (5,961 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Lexus Eastbourne Open
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Raphael Collignon
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Raphael Collignon leads by 49 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Raphael Collignon SPW
61.3%
Above tour avg
Juan Manuel Cerundolo SPW
62.7%
Above tour avg
● Juan Manuel Cerundolo has a slight serve edge (+1.4%)
Key Matchup Factors
- Raphael Collignon has a moderate 49-point Elo edge on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 50.2%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →