Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lola Radivojevic prediction for June 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Lola Radivojevic 0 - Sara Sorribes Tormo 0. Lola Radivojevic is favored with a 55.4% win probability.
Lola Radivojevic
1446
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Sara Sorribes Tormo
1594
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Lola RadivojevicSara Sorribes Tormo
Hard
Surface
WTA 125K Makarska - R16
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.0% (4,286 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA 125K Makarska - R16
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Lola Radivojevic
Sara Sorribes Tormo leads by 148 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Sara Sorribes Tormo SPW
50.9%
Below tour avg
Lola Radivojevic SPW
53.8%
Below tour avg
● Lola Radivojevic has a slight serve edge (+2.9%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Sara Sorribes Tormo ML
-107
Model: 45%
Edge: -7.1%
Lola Radivojevic ML
-113
Model: 55%
Edge: +2.3%
Key Matchup Factors
- Sara Sorribes Tormo holds a commanding 148-point Elo advantage on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Lola Radivojevic has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Lola Radivojevic 55.4%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →