Selena Janicijevic vs Mary Stoiana prediction for May 19, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Mary Stoiana 0 - Selena Janicijevic 0. Selena Janicijevic is favored with a 50.1% win probability.
Mary Stoiana
1500
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Selena Janicijevic
1500
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Mary StoianaSelena Janicijevic
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.8% (2,384 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Selena Janicijevic
Mary Stoiana
Selena Janicijevic leads by 0 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Selena Janicijevic SPW
56.2%
Below tour avg
Mary Stoiana SPW
55.4%
Below tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Selena Janicijevic ML
+363
Model: 50%
Edge: +28.5%
Mary Stoiana ML
-464
Model: 50%
Edge: -32.4%
Model Projection
Selena Janicijevic ML +363 · +28.5% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (0-point Elo gap)
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Selena Janicijevic has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Selena Janicijevic 50.1%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →