Sorana Cirstea vs Mirra Andreeva prediction for June 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Mirra Andreeva 0 - Sorana Cirstea 0. Mirra Andreeva is favored with a 50.8% win probability.
Mirra Andreeva
1811
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Sorana Cirstea
1582
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Mirra AndreevaSorana Cirstea
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.3% (4,219 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Sorana Cirstea
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra Andreeva leads by 229 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Sorana Cirstea SPW
57.0%
Above tour avg
Mirra Andreeva SPW
56.7%
Above tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Sorana Cirstea ML
+159
Model: 49%
Edge: +10.6%
Mirra Andreeva ML
-180
Model: 51%
Edge: -13.5%
Model Projection
Sorana Cirstea ML +159 · +10.6% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Mirra Andreeva holds a commanding 229-point Elo advantage on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Sorana Cirstea has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Mirra Andreeva 50.8%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →