Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaeva prediction for June 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Alina Charaeva 0 - Susan Bandecchi 0. Susan Bandecchi is favored with a 54.3% win probability.
Alina Charaeva
1446
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Susan Bandecchi
1512
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Alina CharaevaSusan Bandecchi
Hard
Surface
Figueira Da Foz Ladies Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.6% (5,865 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Figueira Da Foz Ladies Open
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Susan Bandecchi
Alina Charaeva
Susan Bandecchi leads by 66 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Susan Bandecchi SPW
56.7%
Above tour avg
Alina Charaeva SPW
56.5%
Below tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Key Matchup Factors
- Susan Bandecchi has a moderate 66-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Susan Bandecchi has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Susan Bandecchi 54.3%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →