Suzan Lamens vs Amelia Rajecki prediction for June 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Amelia Rajecki 0 - Suzan Lamens 0. Suzan Lamens is favored with a 51.2% win probability.
Amelia Rajecki
1441
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Suzan Lamens
1518
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Amelia RajeckiSuzan Lamens
Grass
Surface
WTA Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.0% (6,309 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Suzan Lamens
Amelia Rajecki
Suzan Lamens leads by 77 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Suzan Lamens SPW
57.6%
Above tour avg
Amelia Rajecki SPW
60.0%
Above tour avg
● Amelia Rajecki has a slight serve edge (+2.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Suzan Lamens ML
-881
Model: 51%
Edge: -38.6%
Amelia Rajecki ML
+583
Model: 49%
Edge: +34.1%
Model Projection
Amelia Rajecki ML +583 · +34.1% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Suzan Lamens has a moderate 77-point Elo edge on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Amelia Rajecki has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Suzan Lamens 51.2%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →