Teodora Kostovic vs Yeonwoo Ku prediction for June 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Yeonwoo Ku 0 - Teodora Kostovic 0. Yeonwoo Ku is favored with a 51.1% win probability.
Yeonwoo Ku
1490
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Teodora Kostovic
1480
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Yeonwoo KuTeodora Kostovic
Grass
Surface
WTA Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.0% (6,309 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Teodora Kostovic
Yeonwoo Ku
Yeonwoo Ku leads by 10 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Teodora Kostovic SPW
59.7%
Above tour avg
Yeonwoo Ku SPW
59.7%
Above tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Teodora Kostovic ML
-146
Model: 49%
Edge: -10.5%
Yeonwoo Ku ML
+123
Model: 51%
Edge: +6.3%
Model Projection
Yeonwoo Ku ML +123 · +6.3% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (10-point Elo gap)
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Yeonwoo Ku has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Yeonwoo Ku 51.1%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →