Ugo Blanchet vs Charles Broom prediction for May 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Charles Broom 0 - Ugo Blanchet 0. Ugo Blanchet is favored with a 55.5% win probability.
Charles Broom
1468
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • ATP
Ugo Blanchet
1392
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Charles BroomUgo Blanchet
Clay
Surface
ATP French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.7% (2,384 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 5 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Ugo Blanchet
Charles Broom
Charles Broom leads by 76 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Clay: 63.5%
Ugo Blanchet SPW
59.7%
Below tour avg
Charles Broom SPW
59.5%
Below tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Ugo Blanchet ML
-327
Model: 56%
Edge: -21.0%
Charles Broom ML
+260
Model: 44%
Edge: +16.7%
Model Projection
Charles Broom ML +260 · +16.7% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Charles Broom has a moderate 76-point Elo edge on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Ugo Blanchet has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Ugo Blanchet 55.5%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →