Vit Kopriva vs Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction for May 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Felix Auger-Aliassime 0 - Vit Kopriva 0. Vit Kopriva is favored with a 51.0% win probability.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
1650
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • ATP
Vit Kopriva
1501
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Felix Auger-AliassimeVit Kopriva
Clay
Surface
ATP Hamburg Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 51.2% (2,567 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP Hamburg Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Vit Kopriva
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix Auger-Aliassime leads by 149 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Clay: 63.5%
Vit Kopriva SPW
60.1%
Below tour avg
Felix Auger-Aliassime SPW
59.0%
Below tour avg
● Vit Kopriva has a slight serve edge (+1.1%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Vit Kopriva ML
+210
Model: 51%
Edge: +18.8%
Felix Auger-Aliassime ML
-231
Model: 49%
Edge: -20.8%
Model Projection
Vit Kopriva ML +210 · +18.8% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Felix Auger-Aliassime holds a commanding 149-point Elo advantage on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Vit Kopriva has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Vit Kopriva 51.0%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →