Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia Zakharova prediction for June 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Anastasia Zakharova 0 - Yuliia Starodubtseva 0. Yuliia Starodubtseva is favored with a 59.0% win probability.
Anastasia Zakharova
1536
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Yuliia Starodubtseva
1564
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Anastasia ZakharovaYuliia Starodubtseva
Grass
Surface
Lexus Eastbourne Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.4% (6,309 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Lexus Eastbourne Open
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Anastasia Zakharova
Yuliia Starodubtseva leads by 28 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Yuliia Starodubtseva SPW
58.6%
Above tour avg
Anastasia Zakharova SPW
55.1%
Below tour avg
● Yuliia Starodubtseva has a significant serve advantage (+3.5%)
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (28-point Elo gap)
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Yuliia Starodubtseva has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Yuliia Starodubtseva 59.0%
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →