Zachary Svajda vs Max Hans Rehberg prediction for May 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Max Hans Rehberg 0 - Zachary Svajda 0. Max Hans Rehberg is favored with a 57.8% win probability.
Max Hans Rehberg
1731
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Zachary Svajda
1475
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Max Hans RehbergZachary Svajda
Hard
Surface
Geneva
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 53.1% (2,277 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Geneva
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Zachary Svajda
Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg leads by 255 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Zachary Svajda SPW
62.9%
Below tour avg
Max Hans Rehberg SPW
64.3%
Above tour avg
● Max Hans Rehberg has a slight serve edge (+1.5%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Zachary Svajda ML
-106
Model: 42%
Edge: -9.3%
Max Hans Rehberg ML
-110
Model: 58%
Edge: +5.4%
Model Projection
Max Hans Rehberg ML -110 · +5.4% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Max Hans Rehberg holds a commanding 255-point Elo advantage on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Max Hans Rehberg has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Max Hans Rehberg 57.8%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →