Zeynep Sonmez vs Harriet Dart prediction for June 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Harriet Dart 0 - Zeynep Sonmez 0. Zeynep Sonmez is favored with a 53.3% win probability.
Harriet Dart
1513
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Zeynep Sonmez
1577
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Harriet DartZeynep Sonmez
Grass
Surface
Eastbourne
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 51.5% (6,036 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Eastbourne
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Zeynep Sonmez
Harriet Dart
Zeynep Sonmez leads by 65 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Zeynep Sonmez SPW
58.1%
Above tour avg
Harriet Dart SPW
58.1%
Above tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Zeynep Sonmez ML
-261
Model: 53%
Edge: -19.0%
Harriet Dart ML
+221
Model: 47%
Edge: +15.6%
Model Projection
Harriet Dart ML +221 · +15.6% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Zeynep Sonmez has a moderate 65-point Elo edge on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Harriet Dart has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Zeynep Sonmez 53.3%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →