Week 31: Free -12.7u, Premium -0.1u

May 4 — May 10, 2026 | Tough Week (Free)

Week 31 results (May 4 — May 10, 2026): Olympus Bets publishes two tiers and reports each separately. Free tier (publicly published) went 46-55 (45.5% WR, -12.73u) across 101 picks. Premium tier (subscriber-only) went 16-13 (55.2% WR, -0.11u) across 29 picks. Current 30/60/90-day Core-versus-Oracle context is reported on the live track record. All picks tracked transparently on the live track record.

All Tiers Combined

Every picks Olympus Bets published this week — free + premium combined.

62-68 | -12.84u

47.7% Win Rate | 130 Picks | -7.7% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
GOLF25-2154.3%+4.23u
MLB17-1750.0%+0.31u
NHL1-233.3%-0.69u
LOL0-40.0%-2.50u
NBA19-2444.2%-14.19u

Best Pick

Randy Vásquez OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB)

STL @ SD | SOLID | +2.33u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Michael Wacha OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB) — CLE @ KC | -1.50u
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Free Tier (Publicly Published)

Open daily picks anyone can see and verify.

46-55 | -12.73u

45.5% Win Rate | 101 Picks | -10.3% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
GOLF17-1258.6%+7.57u
NHL1-233.3%-0.69u
LOL0-40.0%-2.50u
MLB9-1340.9%-2.92u
NBA19-2444.2%-14.19u

Best Pick

Randy Vásquez OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB)

STL @ SD | SOLID | +2.33u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Michael Wacha OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB) — CLE @ KC | -1.50u
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Premium Tier (Subscriber-Only)

The full subscriber result for this week. Current Core-versus-Oracle rolling context is reported separately on the live track record.

16-13 | -0.11u

55.2% Win Rate | 29 Picks | -0.3% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
MLB8-466.7%+3.23u
GOLF8-947.1%-3.34u

Best Pick

Kim, Si Woo Round H2H vs Fitzpatrick, Matt (+105) (GOLF)

Kim, Si Woo vs Fitzpatrick, Matt (R1) | SOLID | +1.57u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Day, Jason Round H2H vs Hojgaard, Nicolai (-101) (GOLF) — Day, Jason vs Hojgaard, Nicolai (R1) | -1.50u
Final: -. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Premium Leans (Subscriber-Only, Own Column)

Flat 0.5u model leans published to members every day. Graded in their own column on the track record and never counted as Premium.
No resolved picks in this tier this week.

Season-to-Date

52.8%
Free Win Rate
+24.3u
Free Units
1798
Free Picks
52.4%
Premium WR (recal.)
-27.9u
Premium Units
854
Premium Picks

Season-to-date totals from the canonical performance split (as of 2026-09-14T16:01:27.434302). Combined picks: 2652.

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Full access to all picks, detailed writeups, and Kelly-optimized sizing. View the complete track record first.

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