Week 31: Free -6.5u, Premium -0.9u

May 4 — May 10, 2026 | Tough Week (Free)

Week 31 results (May 4 — May 10, 2026): Olympus Bets publishes two tiers and reports each separately. Free tier (publicly published) went 18-29 (38.3% WR, -6.47u) across 47 picks. Premium tier (subscriber-only) went 12-11 (52.2% WR, -0.88u) across 23 picks — currently in active recalibration as new tier-divergence and drain gates ramp up. All picks tracked transparently on the live track record.

All Tiers Combined

Every picks Olympus Bets published this week — free + premium combined.

30-40 | -7.35u

42.9% Win Rate | 70 Picks | -9.0% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
GOLF14-1351.9%-0.15u
NHL1-233.3%-0.69u
MLB15-1845.5%-1.51u
LOL0-40.0%-2.50u
NBA0-30.0%-2.50u

Best Pick

Randy Vásquez OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB)

STL @ SD | SOLID | +2.33u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Michael Wacha OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB) — CLE @ KC | -1.50u
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Free Tier (Publicly Published)

Open daily picks anyone can see and verify.

18-29 | -6.47u

38.3% Win Rate | 47 Picks | -13.6% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
GOLF9-756.2%+3.02u
NHL1-233.3%-0.69u
LOL0-40.0%-2.50u
NBA0-30.0%-2.50u
MLB8-1338.1%-3.80u

Best Pick

Randy Vásquez OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB)

STL @ SD | SOLID | +2.33u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Michael Wacha OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB) — CLE @ KC | -1.50u
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Premium Tier (Subscriber-Only — in active recalibration)

The subscriber product. We're publishing this transparently while the new tier-divergence and standalone-drain gates ramp up.

12-11 | -0.88u

52.2% Win Rate | 23 Picks | -2.6% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
MLB7-558.3%+2.29u
GOLF5-645.5%-3.17u

Best Pick

Rodgers, Patrick Round H2H vs Cauley, Bud (+104) (GOLF)

Rodgers, Patrick vs Cauley, Bud (R1) | SOLID | +1.56u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Day, Jason Round H2H vs Hojgaard, Nicolai (-101) (GOLF) — Day, Jason vs Hojgaard, Nicolai (R1) | -1.50u
Final: -. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Season-to-Date

53.6%
Free Win Rate
+17.5u
Free Units
840
Free Picks
51.6%
Premium WR (recal.)
-15.8u
Premium Units
586
Premium Picks

Season-to-date totals from the canonical performance split (as of 2026-05-11T10:10:02.340207). Combined picks: 1426.

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