Week 33: Free -4.0u, Premium -3.2u

May 18 — May 24, 2026 | Tough Week (Free)

Week 33 results (May 18 — May 24, 2026): Olympus Bets publishes two tiers and reports each separately. Free tier (publicly published) went 6-10 (37.5% WR, -3.97u) across 16 picks. Premium tier (subscriber-only) went 11-13 (45.8% WR, -3.24u) across 24 picks — currently in active recalibration as new tier-divergence and drain gates ramp up. All picks tracked transparently on the live track record.

All Tiers Combined

Every picks Olympus Bets published this week — free + premium combined.

17-23 | -7.21u

42.5% Win Rate | 40 Picks | -12.0% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
MLB8-1044.4%+0.92u
GOLF6-746.2%-3.12u
NBA3-633.3%-5.01u

Best Pick

Griffin Canning OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB)

LAD @ SD | SOLID | +2.34u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Gerrit Cole OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB) — TB @ NYY | -2.00u
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Free Tier (Publicly Published)

Open daily picks anyone can see and verify.

6-10 | -3.97u

37.5% Win Rate | 16 Picks | -18.0% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
MLB5-741.7%-0.81u
GOLF1-325.0%-3.16u

Best Pick

Joey Cantillo OVER 5.5 Ks (MLB)

CLE @ DET | SOLID | +1.88u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Gerrit Cole OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB) — TB @ NYY | -2.00u
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Premium Tier (Subscriber-Only — in active recalibration)

The subscriber product. We're publishing this transparently while the new tier-divergence and standalone-drain gates ramp up.

11-13 | -3.24u

45.8% Win Rate | 24 Picks | -8.5% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
MLB3-350.0%+1.73u
GOLF5-455.6%+0.04u
NBA3-633.3%-5.01u

Best Pick

Griffin Canning OVER 4.5 Ks (MLB)

LAD @ SD | SOLID | +2.34u

Result: WIN | Final: None-None

Learning Moment

Dylan Harper UNDER 19.5 pra (NBA) — SAS @ OKC | -1.50u
Final: -. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Season-to-Date

53.5%
Free Win Rate
+16.5u
Free Units
898
Free Picks
52.2%
Premium WR (recal.)
-19.1u
Premium Units
696
Premium Picks

Season-to-date totals from the canonical performance split (as of 2026-05-25T10:10:01.734784). Combined picks: 1594.

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Full access to all picks, detailed writeups, and Kelly-optimized sizing. View the complete track record first.

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