Week 39 results (June 29 — July 5, 2026): Olympus Bets publishes two tiers and reports each separately. Free tier (publicly published) went 21-20 (51.2% WR, +0.47u) across 41 picks. Premium tier (subscriber-only) went 22-32 (40.7% WR, -15.44u) across 54 picks — currently in active recalibration as new tier-divergence and drain gates ramp up. All picks tracked transparently on the live track record.
All Tiers Combined
Every picks Olympus Bets published this week — free + premium combined.
45.3% Win Rate | 95 Picks | -14.7% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 13-13 | 50.0% | +2.69u |
| GOLF | 6-5 | 54.5% | +1.27u |
| WC | 2-1 | 66.7% | +0.46u |
| ESPORTS | 1-1 | 50.0% | -0.46u |
| CS2 | 0-1 | 0.0% | -1.00u |
| WNBA | 4-6 | 40.0% | -2.06u |
| SOCCER | 4-7 | 36.4% | -3.66u |
| TENNIS | 13-18 | 41.9% | -12.22u |
Best Pick
BUY YES · Paraguay: Team to Advance to Win vs Germany (SOCCER)
Paraguay: Team to Advance to Win vs Germany | STRONG | +2.67u
Result: WIN | Final: -
Learning Moment
Final: -. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Free Tier (Publicly Published)
Open daily picks anyone can see and verify.
51.2% Win Rate | 41 Picks | +1.5% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 8-7 | 53.3% | +1.56u |
| GOLF | 4-3 | 57.1% | +1.03u |
| WC | 2-1 | 66.7% | +0.46u |
| TENNIS | 3-3 | 50.0% | -0.52u |
| WNBA | 4-6 | 40.0% | -2.06u |
Best Pick
Phillips, Chandler 3-Ball (+154) (GOLF)
Phillips, Chandler @ John Deere Classic | SOLID | +2.31u
Result: WIN | Final: None-None
Learning Moment
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Premium Tier (Subscriber-Only — in active recalibration)
The subscriber product. We're publishing this transparently while the new tier-divergence and standalone-drain gates ramp up.
40.7% Win Rate | 54 Picks | -21.7% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 5-6 | 45.5% | +1.14u |
| GOLF | 2-2 | 50.0% | +0.24u |
| ESPORTS | 1-1 | 50.0% | -0.46u |
| CS2 | 0-1 | 0.0% | -1.00u |
| SOCCER | 4-7 | 36.4% | -3.66u |
| TENNIS | 10-15 | 40.0% | -11.70u |
Best Pick
BUY YES · Paraguay: Team to Advance to Win vs Germany (SOCCER)
Paraguay: Team to Advance to Win vs Germany | STRONG | +2.67u
Result: WIN | Final: -
Learning Moment
Final: -. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Season-to-Date
Season-to-date totals from the canonical performance split (as of 2026-07-06T10:10:01.815971). Combined picks: 1791.