Week 40 results (July 6 — July 12, 2026): Olympus Bets publishes two tiers and reports each separately. Free tier (publicly published) went 30-32 (48.4% WR, +1.01u) across 62 picks. Premium tier (subscriber-only) went 12-13 (48.0% WR, -4.95u) across 25 picks — currently in active recalibration as new tier-divergence and drain gates ramp up. All picks tracked transparently on the live track record.
All Tiers Combined
Every picks Olympus Bets published this week — free + premium combined.
48.3% Win Rate | 87 Picks | -5.1% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOLF | 11-6 | 64.7% | +3.32u |
| WNBA | 8-9 | 47.1% | -0.41u |
| MLB | 20-24 | 45.5% | -0.64u |
| SOCCER | 1-1 | 50.0% | -0.73u |
| WORLD_CUP | 0-1 | 0.0% | -1.50u |
| TENNIS | 1-2 | 33.3% | -1.71u |
| LOL | 1-2 | 33.3% | -2.27u |
Best Pick
MacIntyre, Robert Top 5 (+165) (GOLF)
MacIntyre, Robert @ Genesis Scottish Open | ELITE | +1.97u
Result: WIN | Final: None-None
Learning Moment
Final: -. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Free Tier (Publicly Published)
Open daily picks anyone can see and verify.
48.4% Win Rate | 62 Picks | +2.1% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOLF | 7-4 | 63.6% | +2.43u |
| MLB | 17-18 | 48.6% | +1.18u |
| LOL | 1-0 | 100.0% | +0.73u |
| TENNIS | 1-1 | 50.0% | -0.21u |
| WNBA | 4-9 | 30.8% | -3.12u |
Best Pick
MacIntyre, Robert Top 5 (+165) (GOLF)
MacIntyre, Robert @ Genesis Scottish Open | ELITE | +1.97u
Result: WIN | Final: None-None
Learning Moment
Final: -. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Premium Tier (Subscriber-Only — in active recalibration)
The subscriber product. We're publishing this transparently while the new tier-divergence and standalone-drain gates ramp up.
48.0% Win Rate | 25 Picks | -17.9% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 4-0 | 100.0% | +2.71u |
| GOLF | 4-2 | 66.7% | +0.89u |
| SOCCER | 1-1 | 50.0% | -0.73u |
| TENNIS | 0-1 | 0.0% | -1.50u |
| WORLD_CUP | 0-1 | 0.0% | -1.50u |
| MLB | 3-6 | 33.3% | -1.82u |
| LOL | 0-2 | 0.0% | -3.00u |
Best Pick
Gerard, Ryan Round H2H vs Migliozzi, Guido (-140) (GOLF)
Gerard, Ryan vs Migliozzi, Guido (R3) | MEDIUM | +1.07u
Result: WIN | Final: None-None
Learning Moment
Final: -. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Season-to-Date
Season-to-date totals from the canonical performance split (as of 2026-07-13T10:10:03.137994). Combined picks: 1882.