Week 41 results (July 13 — July 19, 2026): Olympus Bets publishes two tiers and reports each separately. Free tier (publicly published) went 20-16 (55.6% WR, +3.47u) across 36 picks. Premium tier (subscriber-only) went 10-12 (45.5% WR, -2.87u) across 22 picks — currently in active recalibration as new tier-divergence and drain gates ramp up. All picks tracked transparently on the live track record.
All Tiers Combined
Every picks Olympus Bets published this week — free + premium combined.
51.7% Win Rate | 58 Picks | +1.0% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOLF | 17-10 | 63.0% | +6.22u |
| MLB | 4-5 | 44.4% | +0.52u |
| TENNIS | 5-3 | 62.5% | +0.31u |
| LOL | 2-2 | 50.0% | -1.44u |
| WNBA | 2-5 | 28.6% | -1.51u |
| WORLD_CUP | 0-3 | 0.0% | -3.50u |
Best Pick
Thorbjornsen, Michael 3-Ball (+115) (GOLF)
Thorbjornsen, Michael @ The Open Championship | ELITE | +1.72u
Result: WIN | Final: None-None
Learning Moment
Final: -. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Free Tier (Publicly Published)
Open daily picks anyone can see and verify.
55.6% Win Rate | 36 Picks | +12.8% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOLF | 7-3 | 70.0% | +3.59u |
| MLB | 4-4 | 50.0% | +1.02u |
| TENNIS | 5-3 | 62.5% | +0.31u |
| LOL | 2-1 | 66.7% | +0.06u |
| WNBA | 2-5 | 28.6% | -1.51u |
Best Pick
Thorbjornsen, Michael 3-Ball (+115) (GOLF)
Thorbjornsen, Michael @ The Open Championship | ELITE | +1.72u
Result: WIN | Final: None-None
Learning Moment
Final: 19-2. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Premium Tier (Subscriber-Only — in active recalibration)
The subscriber product. We're publishing this transparently while the new tier-divergence and standalone-drain gates ramp up.
45.5% Win Rate | 22 Picks | -8.2% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOLF | 10-7 | 58.8% | +2.63u |
| MLB | 0-1 | 0.0% | -0.50u |
| LOL | 0-1 | 0.0% | -1.50u |
| WORLD_CUP | 0-3 | 0.0% | -3.50u |
Best Pick
Molinari, Francesco Round H2H vs McKibbin, Tom (+102) (GOLF)
Molinari, Francesco vs McKibbin, Tom (R2) | HIGH | +1.53u
Result: WIN | Final: None-None
Learning Moment
Final: -. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Season-to-Date
Season-to-date totals from the canonical performance split (as of 2026-07-20T10:10:01.932688). Combined picks: 1946.