Week 42: Free -2.5u, Premium +5.5u

July 20 — July 26, 2026 | Tough Week (Free)

Week 42 results (July 20 — July 26, 2026): Olympus Bets publishes two tiers and reports each separately. Free tier (publicly published) went 31-24 (56.4% WR, -2.45u) across 55 picks. Premium tier (subscriber-only) went 15-8 (65.2% WR, +5.52u) across 23 picks — currently in active recalibration as new tier-divergence and drain gates ramp up. All picks tracked transparently on the live track record.

All Tiers Combined

Every picks Olympus Bets published this week — free + premium combined.

46-32 | +3.07u

59.0% Win Rate | 78 Picks | +3.6% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
MLB29-1763.0%+2.54u
CS21-0100.0%+1.62u
ESPORTS1-0100.0%+1.08u
LOL1-150.0%-0.07u
TENNIS1-233.3%-0.52u
GOLF13-1252.0%-1.58u

Best Pick

HOTU ML (CS2)

HOTU vs GamerLegion | SOLID | +1.62u

Result: WIN | Final: 0-2

Learning Moment

Grillo, Emiliano Top 5 (+150) (GOLF) — Grillo, Emiliano @ 3M Open | -2.00u
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Free Tier (Publicly Published)

Open daily picks anyone can see and verify.

31-24 | -2.45u

56.4% Win Rate | 55 Picks | -4.5% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
MLB22-1068.8%+5.30u
CS21-0100.0%+1.62u
LOL1-150.0%-0.07u
TENNIS1-233.3%-0.52u
GOLF6-1135.3%-8.78u

Best Pick

HOTU ML (CS2)

HOTU vs GamerLegion | SOLID | +1.62u

Result: WIN | Final: 0-2

Learning Moment

Grillo, Emiliano Top 5 (+150) (GOLF) — Grillo, Emiliano @ 3M Open | -2.00u
Final: None-None. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Premium Tier (Subscriber-Only — in active recalibration)

The subscriber product. We're publishing this transparently while the new tier-divergence and standalone-drain gates ramp up.

15-8 | +5.52u

65.2% Win Rate | 23 Picks | +17.2% ROI

LeagueRecordWin RateUnits
GOLF7-187.5%+7.20u
ESPORTS1-0100.0%+1.08u
MLB7-750.0%-2.76u

Best Pick

OAK @ MIN F5 UNDER 5.5 (MLB)

OAK @ MIN | SOLID | +1.50u

Result: WIN | Final: 0-2

Learning Moment

LAD @ PHI F5 OVER 4.5 (MLB) — LAD @ PHI | -1.50u
Final: 2-1. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.

Season-to-Date

53.5%
Free Win Rate
+42.5u
Free Units
1108
Free Picks
53.3%
Premium WR (recal.)
-0.7u
Premium Units
928
Premium Picks

Season-to-date totals from the canonical performance split (as of 2026-07-27T10:10:01.410980). Combined picks: 2036.

Get Premium Access

Full access to all picks, detailed writeups, and Kelly-optimized sizing. View the complete track record first.

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