Week 43 results (July 27 — August 2, 2026): Olympus Bets publishes two tiers and reports each separately. Free tier (publicly published) went 42-34 (55.3% WR, +1.33u) across 76 picks. Premium tier (subscriber-only) went 8-11 (42.1% WR, -5.75u) across 19 picks — currently in active recalibration as new tier-divergence and drain gates ramp up. All picks tracked transparently on the live track record.
All Tiers Combined
Every picks Olympus Bets published this week — free + premium combined.
52.6% Win Rate | 95 Picks | -6.2% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| TENNIS | 8-3 | 72.7% | +1.64u |
| GOLF | 11-10 | 52.4% | +1.32u |
| WNBA | 9-5 | 64.3% | +0.78u |
| MLB | 22-27 | 44.9% | -8.16u |
Best Pick
Keefer, Johnny Round H2H vs James, Ben (-104) (GOLF)
Keefer, Johnny vs James, Ben (R2) | MEDIUM | +1.44u
Result: WIN | Final: -
Learning Moment
Final: 7-3. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Free Tier (Publicly Published)
Open daily picks anyone can see and verify.
55.3% Win Rate | 76 Picks | +2.6% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOLF | 8-7 | 53.3% | +2.09u |
| TENNIS | 8-3 | 72.7% | +1.64u |
| WNBA | 9-5 | 64.3% | +0.78u |
| MLB | 17-19 | 47.2% | -3.18u |
Best Pick
Keefer, Johnny Round H2H vs James, Ben (-104) (GOLF)
Keefer, Johnny vs James, Ben (R2) | MEDIUM | +1.44u
Result: WIN | Final: -
Learning Moment
Final: 9-5. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Premium Tier (Subscriber-Only — in active recalibration)
The subscriber product. We're publishing this transparently while the new tier-divergence and standalone-drain gates ramp up.
42.1% Win Rate | 19 Picks | -28.0% ROI
| League | Record | Win Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOLF | 3-3 | 50.0% | -0.77u |
| MLB | 5-8 | 38.5% | -4.98u |
Best Pick
Schauffele, Xander Round H2H vs Gotterup, Chris (-108) (GOLF)
Schauffele, Xander vs Gotterup, Chris (R2) | MEDIUM | +1.39u
Result: WIN | Final: None-None
Learning Moment
Final: 7-3. The model identified value but variance prevailed — a reminder that even well-sized bets lose roughly 40-50% of the time.
Season-to-Date
Season-to-date totals from the canonical performance split (as of 2026-08-03T10:10:01.974380). Combined picks: 2193.