Blanchet, Chandler vs Hoge, Tom prediction for May 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hoge, Tom 55 - Blanchet, Chandler 50. Blanchet, Chandler is favored with a 56.6% win probability. The spread is 0.19.
Hoge, Tom
-0.25
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Truist Championship
Blanchet, Chandler
-0.06
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hoge, TomBlanchet, Chandler
+106
Best Odds
+16.7%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Blanchet, Chandler
435057
Hoge, Tom
485562
Tournament Context
Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
12 mph
Temp
77°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)
Player Profile — Blanchet, Chandler
Strokes Gained
-0.06/round
Below Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.147 SG adj
Expected Finish
50th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Blanchet, Chandler
-0.06 SG
EF 50th
Skill Gap
+0.19 SG/round
tight edge for Blanchet, Chandler
Hoge, Tom
-0.25 SG
EF 55th · Below Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
56.6%
Books Say
48.5%
Edge
+16.7%
Blanchet, Chandler vs Hoge, Tom: Model gives Blanchet, Chandler 56.6% win probability vs 48.5% implied (+16.7% edge). Skill advantage: +0.19 SG/round. Expected finish: 50.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Blanchet, Chandler 56.6%
+16.7 pts
Spread
+0.2
+16.7 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →