Bridgeman, Jacob vs Griffin, Ben prediction for May 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Griffin, Ben 90 - Bridgeman, Jacob 95. Bridgeman, Jacob is favored with a 54.7% win probability. The spread is -0.09.
Griffin, Ben
+1.02
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • PGA Championship
Bridgeman, Jacob
+0.92
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Griffin, BenBridgeman, Jacob
+105
Best Odds
+12.2%
Edge
1.0u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Bridgeman, Jacob
8895102
Griffin, Ben
839097
Tournament Context
Event
PGA Championship
Course
Aronimink Golf Club
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Bridgeman, Jacob
Strokes Gained
+0.92/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.058 SG adj
Expected Finish
95th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Bridgeman, Jacob
+0.92 SG
EF 95th
Skill Gap
-0.09 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Griffin, Ben
+1.02 SG
EF 90th · Tour Elite
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
54.7%
Books Say
48.8%
Edge
+12.2%
Bridgeman, Jacob vs Griffin, Ben: Model gives Bridgeman, Jacob 54.7% win probability vs 48.8% implied (+12.2% edge). Expected finish: 95.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Bridgeman, Jacob 54.7%
+12.2 pts
Spread
-0.1
+12.2 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →