Homa, Max vs Putnam, Andrew prediction for May 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Putnam, Andrew 43 - Homa, Max 24. Homa, Max is favored with a 68.4% win probability. The spread is -0.11.
Putnam, Andrew
+0.56
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Truist Championship
Homa, Max
+0.45
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Putnam, AndrewHoma, Max
-132
Best Odds
+20.2%
Edge
2.0u ELITE
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Homa, Max
172431
Putnam, Andrew
364350
Tournament Context
Event
Truist Championship
Course
Quail Hollow Club
Field
72 players
Wind
12 mph
Temp
77°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)
Player Profile — Homa, Max
Strokes Gained
+0.45/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+1.403 SG adj
Expected Finish
24th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Homa, Max
+0.45 SG
EF 24th
Skill Gap
-0.11 SG/round
tight edge for Putnam, Andrew
Putnam, Andrew
+0.56 SG
EF 43th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
68.4%
Books Say
56.9%
Edge
+20.2%
Homa, Max vs Putnam, Andrew: Model gives Homa, Max 68.4% win probability vs 56.9% implied (+20.2% edge). Skill advantage: -0.11 SG/round. Expected finish: 24.
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Homa, Max 68.4%
+20.2 pts
Spread
-0.1
+20.2 pts
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →