PGA Tour Golf

Lee, Min Woo vs Bhatia, Akshay Prediction

April 29, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Lee, Min Woo vs Bhatia, Akshay prediction for April 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Bhatia, Akshay 34 - Lee, Min Woo 26. Lee, Min Woo is favored with a 61.9% win probability. The spread is -0.14.

Bhatia, Akshay
+1.21
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Cadillac Championship
Lee, Min Woo
+1.08
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
38.1%
61.9%
Bhatia, AkshayLee, Min Woo
-143
Best Odds
+5.2%
Edge
1.0u MEDIUM
Sizing
FINALLee, Min Woo (T18) def Bhatia, Akshay (CUT)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Lee, Min Woo
192633
Bhatia, Akshay
273441

Tournament Context

Event
Cadillac Championship
Course
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster)
Field
72 players

Player Profile — Lee, Min Woo

Strokes Gained
+1.08/round
Tour Elite
Course Fit
excellent
+0.527 SG adj
Expected Finish
26th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Lee, Min Woo
+1.08 SG
EF 26th
Skill Gap
-0.14 SG/round
tight edge for Bhatia, Akshay
Bhatia, Akshay
+1.21 SG
EF 34th · Tour Elite

Edge Breakdown

Our Model
61.9%
Books Say
58.9%
Edge
+5.2%

Lee, Min Woo vs Bhatia, Akshay: Model gives Lee, Min Woo 61.9% win probability vs 58.8% implied (+5.2% edge). Skill advantage: -0.14 SG/round. Expected finish: 26.

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Lee, Min Woo 61.9%
+5.2 pts
Spread
-0.1
+5.2 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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