BILIBILI GAMING vs LYON prediction for July 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects LYON 0 - BILIBILI GAMING 3. BILIBILI GAMING is favored with a 83.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
LYON
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • MSI
BILIBILI GAMING
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
LYONBILIBILI GAMING
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.1% (10,176 games)
Team Profiles
BILIBILI GAMING
Elo: 1905 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 5-5 (50%)
LYON
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1662 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-3 (25%)
Score Distribution
BILIBILI GAMING winsLYON wins
0-3
2.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-3
8.0%
3-0
31.7%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
21.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +1.2%Draft +1.1%Phase -0.2%Context +0.9%
Key Factors
- BILIBILI GAMING holds a significant Elo advantage (242 pts)
Market Odds
BILIBILI GAMING
-3333
Edge: -14.1%
LYON
+1200
Edge: +116.4%
🎯 Projection: LYON ML @ +1200 · Edge +116.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.33
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →