Lyon vs Bilibili prediction for July 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Bilibili 2 - Lyon 0. Bilibili is favored with a 79.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Bilibili
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCS
Lyon
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
BilibiliLyon
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.4% (10,176 games)
Team Profiles
Lyon
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1662 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-3 (25%)
Bilibili
Elo: 1500 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
Lyon winsBilibili wins
0-2
47.1%
1-2
25.3%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
15.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.3%Context +0.5%
Key Factors
- Lyon holds a significant Elo advantage (162 pts)
Market Odds
Lyon
+1198
Edge: +172.6%
Bilibili
-4006
Edge: -19.0%
🎯 Projection: Lyon ML @ +1198 · Edge +172.6%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.33
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →