League of Legends

SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports Prediction

May 15, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

SU Esports vs BoostGate Esports prediction for May 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects BoostGate Esports 0 - SU Esports 2. SU Esports is favored with a 77.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

BoostGate Esports
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • TCL
SU Esports
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
22.3%
77.7%
BoostGate EsportsSU Esports
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALBoostGate Esports 1 — SU Esports 2
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 57.1% (9,096 games)

Team Profiles

SU Esports
Elo: 1632 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 9-6 (60%)
BoostGate Esports
Elo: 1352 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 3-7 (30%)

Score Distribution

SU Esports winsBoostGate Esports wins
0-2
9.3%
1-2
13.0%
2-0
45.8%
2-1
31.9%

Advantage Breakdown

Draft -0.1%Phase +1.5%Context +0.5%

Key Factors

Market Odds

SU Esports
-375
Edge: -1.5%
BoostGate Esports
+260
Edge: -19.9%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.40
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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