CITA Kaizen vs NightBirds prediction for May 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects NightBirds 1 - CITA Kaizen 2. CITA Kaizen is favored with a 58.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
NightBirds
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Hitpoint Masters
CITA Kaizen
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
NightBirdsCITA Kaizen
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 48.6% (7,605 games)
Team Profiles
CITA Kaizen
Elo: 1780 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 6-1 (86%)
NightBirds
Elo: 1671 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-4 (71%)
Score Distribution
CITA Kaizen winsNightBirds wins
0-2
19.9%
1-2
21.3%
2-0
29.1%
2-1
29.7%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.6%Draft -0.2%Phase +0.1%
Key Factors
- CITA Kaizen holds a significant Elo advantage (110 pts)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.42
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →