CITA Kaizen vs NightBirds prediction for May 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects NightBirds 2 - CITA Kaizen 3. CITA Kaizen is favored with a 57.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-2 (Best of 5).
NightBirds
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Hitpoint Masters
CITA Kaizen
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
NightBirdsCITA Kaizen
3-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 44.3% (10,473 games)
Team Profiles
CITA Kaizen
Elo: 1751 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 9-2 (82%)
NightBirds
Elo: 1758 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-4 (71%)
Score Distribution
CITA Kaizen winsNightBirds wins
0-3
6.0%
1-3
22.6%
2-3
14.0%
3-0
13.1%
3-1
14.2%
3-2
30.1%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.1%Draft +0.1%Context -0.3%
Key Factors
- Closely matched teams (7 Elo difference)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.36
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →