CITA Kaizen vs NightBirds prediction for June 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects NightBirds 3 - CITA Kaizen 1. NightBirds is favored with a 57.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
NightBirds
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Hitpoint Masters
CITA Kaizen
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
NightBirdsCITA Kaizen
1-3
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 48.3% (11,714 games)
Team Profiles
CITA Kaizen
Elo: 1756 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-4 (71%)
NightBirds
Elo: 1820 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-5 (67%)
Score Distribution
CITA Kaizen winsNightBirds wins
0-3
14.9%
1-3
22.6%
2-3
20.2%
3-0
9.0%
3-1
14.6%
3-2
18.7%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.5%Draft +0.1%Context -0.1%
Key Factors
- NightBirds has a moderate rating edge (64 Elo)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.33
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →