Sweden (W) vs Denmark (W) prediction for June 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Denmark (W) 2.0 - Sweden (W) 0.86. Denmark (W) is favored with a 57.8% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.9..
Denmark (W)
2.0
Projected Goals
VS
2.9 total
Sweden (W)
0.86
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Denmark (W)DrawSweden (W)
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.2% (1,006 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Sweden (W)
0.10.91.6
Denmark (W)
1.22.02.8
Expected Goals (xG)
Denmark (W)2.00
Sweden (W)0.86
16.3Shots16.3
5.8On Target5.8
5.7Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.3%
Over 1.5
78.2%
Over 2.5
55.7%
Over 3.5
54.1%
Under 2.5
44.3%
BTTS
54.6%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
10.0%
3-0
7.8%
Match Context
WCMedium
Denmark (W)
1.43
Draw
3.30
Sweden (W)
9.50
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Denmark (W) 57.8%
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Total
2.9
+61.6 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →