League of Legends

Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion Prediction

August 30, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion prediction for August 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Shopify Rebellion 0 - Cloud9 2. Cloud9 is favored with a 68.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

Shopify Rebellion
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LCS
Cloud9
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
31.2%
68.8%
Shopify RebellionCloud9
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 69.2% (18,453 games)

Team Profiles

Cloud9
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
56%
Elo: 1580 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Shopify Rebellion
Early
43%
Mid
44%
Late
45%
Elo: 1363 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-6 (40%)

Score Distribution

Cloud9 winsShopify Rebellion wins
0-2
12.6%
1-2
18.6%
2-0
42.9%
2-1
25.8%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

Cloud9
-270
Shopify Rebellion
+300
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.22

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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