Cupid vs Conviction prediction for July 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Conviction 2 - Cupid 0. Conviction is favored with a 69.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Conviction
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Unknown
Cupid
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
ConvictionCupid
0-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.9% (10,965 games)
Team Profiles
Cupid
Elo: 1500
Conviction
Elo: 1824 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-6 (62%)
Score Distribution
Cupid winsConviction wins
0-2
39.5%
1-2
30.2%
2-0
12.1%
2-1
18.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft +0.3%Context -0.6%
Key Factors
- Conviction holds a significant Elo advantage (324 pts)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.76
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.