Maryville University vs Conviction prediction for May 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Conviction 0 - Maryville University 2. Maryville University is favored with a 75.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Conviction
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • NACL
Maryville University
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
ConvictionMaryville University
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.3% (9,755 games)
Team Profiles
Maryville University
Early
69%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1776 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 16-0 (100%)
Conviction
Early
67%
Mid
36%
Late
30%
Elo: 1594 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 0-6 (0%)
Score Distribution
Maryville University winsConviction wins
0-2
16.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
45.6%
2-1
30.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.2%Phase +1.9%
Key Factors
- Maryville University holds a significant Elo advantage (182 pts)
Market Odds
Maryville University
-262
Edge: +4.2%
Conviction
+202
Edge: -25.7%
🎯 Projection: Maryville University ML @ -262 · Edge +4.2%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.37
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →