MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster prediction for May 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects CTBC Flying Oyster 1 - MVK Esports 3. MVK Esports is favored with a 79.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).
CTBC Flying Oyster
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LCP
MVK Esports
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
CTBC Flying OysterMVK Esports
3-1
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.8% (10,103 games)
Team Profiles
MVK Esports
Early
57%
Mid
44%
Late
40%
Elo: 1542 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-5 (29%)
CTBC Flying Oyster
Early
60%
Mid
56%
Late
60%
Elo: 1314 · Record: 31-12 (72%)
Score Distribution
MVK Esports winsCTBC Flying Oyster wins
0-3
3.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-3
9.8%
3-0
27.7%
3-1
29.0%
3-2
23.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.3%Draft -0.3%Phase -0.1%Context -0.3%
Key Factors
- MVK Esports holds a significant Elo advantage (227 pts)
Market Odds
MVK Esports
-230
Edge: +14.3%
CTBC Flying Oyster
+175
Edge: -44.1%
🎯 Projection: MVK Esports ML @ -230 · Edge +14.3%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.28
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →