League of Legends

Disguised vs Team Liquid Prediction

August 15, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Disguised vs Team Liquid prediction for August 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Liquid 2 - Disguised 0. Team Liquid is favored with a 86.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

Team Liquid
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LCS
Disguised
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
86.2%
13.8%
Team LiquidDisguised
0-2
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 90.4% (16,701 games)
FINALTeam Liquid 2 — Disguised 0
Projected
Team Liquid 2 — Disguised 0
Actual
Team Liquid 2 — Disguised 0

Team Profiles

Disguised
Early
33%
Mid
34%
Late
35%
Elo: 1169 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-8 (20%)
Team Liquid
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
55%
Elo: 1576 · Record: 7-3 (70%)

Score Distribution

Disguised winsTeam Liquid wins
0-2
55.5%
1-2
24.7%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
8.9%

Advantage Breakdown

🔒
Model Advantages
Available to premium members
Unlock

Key Factors

🔒
Matchup Intelligence
Available to premium members
Unlock

Market Odds

Disguised
+1000
Team Liquid
-2500
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.24

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

🔒
Edge Analysis
Available to premium members
Unlock
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.

Want Premium Predictions?

Get full access to all picks, detailed game-by-game analysis, and Kelly-optimized unit sizing across 9 leagues.

Go Premium Free Picks

Free picks in your inbox every morning

The same free projections published here — Monte Carlo simulated, Kelly sized, delivered daily. Free forever. Unsubscribe anytime.