Dorado Gaming vs Supernova prediction for May 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Supernova 2 - Dorado Gaming 0. Supernova is favored with a 81.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Supernova
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • North American Challengers League
Dorado Gaming
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
SupernovaDorado Gaming
0-2
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.5% (7,605 games)
Team Profiles
Dorado Gaming
Early
47%
Mid
36%
Late
30%
Elo: 1366 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 0-15 (0%)
Supernova
Early
60%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1668 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
Dorado Gaming winsSupernova wins
0-2
50.5%
1-2
30.5%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
11.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.1%Phase -3.4%Context -1.5%
Key Factors
- Supernova holds a significant Elo advantage (302 pts)
- Supernova's early_aggro style creates a favorable matchup
- Supernova is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
Dorado Gaming
+384
Edge: -8.3%
Supernova
-599
Edge: -5.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.41
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →