Dynasty vs mCon esports prediction for July 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects mCon esports 1 - Dynasty 2. Dynasty is favored with a 50.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
mCon esports
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • EMEA
Dynasty
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
mCon esportsDynasty
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.1% (10,752 games)
Team Profiles
Dynasty
Elo: 1363 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 10-10 (50%)
mCon esports
Elo: 1338 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 10-10 (50%)
Score Distribution
Dynasty winsmCon esports wins
0-2
24.4%
1-2
25.1%
2-0
23.9%
2-1
26.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.2%Phase +0.2%Context -1.1%
Key Factors
- Closely matched teams (25 Elo difference)
Market Odds
Dynasty
+120
Edge: +11.0%
mCon esports
-167
Edge: -20.7%
🎯 Projection: Dynasty ML @ +120 · Edge +11.0%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.47
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.